Tuesday, February 19, 2008

A Contest Up To The Convention?

Not a few Democrats deplore the the fact that the party has not yet settled on a candidate. I'm afraid that I can't join them in their concern. In the olden days, choosing a candidate at the convention was the norm.

Athenae of First Draft, aka Allison Hantschel, has a column in the Southtown Star on this very subject. She says:

I may be alone in this, but I, for one, hope the Democratic primary campaign goes all the way to the last primary.

A long, knock-down, drag-out fight is presumed to harm an eventual nominee, leaving him or her damaged and weakened from months of attacks by primary opponents, crippled by debt racked up in early states and just plain used up, all the good arguments already expended on the trail. Easy pickings for the opposition.


Hantshel is not alone, because I agree with her. I don't see the dangers that she mentions coming to be. In the first place, the original purpose of the national political conventions was to choose the candidates for president and vice-president. But, as though our campaign cycle is not long enough, states have moved their primaries and caucuses to earlier and earlier dates, so that by the time of the party conventions, the candidates have long been anointed. The conventions provide little in the way of suspense or excitement and have become mostly boring, cheer-leading affairs.

Think how tired we'll all be of John McCain by November. That the Democrats still have a contest going puts McCain somewhat in the shadows. Plus, the Democratic strategists have one specific target to go after, while the Republicans' plan of attack is more difficult, because, for the present, they have two moving targets.

Hantschel goes on to say:

However, so long as the race stays relatively clean, a longer Democratic contest can only benefit both major candidates.

In the first place, it grants relevancy to later-calendar states like Wyoming, North Dakota and Wisconsin, whose choices in these contests have been nearly beside the point in past elections. The more states feel they have a role in choosing the nominee, the more Democrats will be involved in and have ownership of that nominee's particular political fortunes


I'd hope that the Democratic candidates don't get down and dirty in campaigning against each other. If they do, it could backfire and hurt more than help. I believe they know that.

For the first time in many years, my vote in a primary has counted for something. Usually, it's all over by the time we vote. Even in primaries later than ours in Louisiana, folks will have their chance to make a difference, and I see that as entirely a good thing.

I'll be watching to see how the Republicans drum up any excitement at all about John McCain at their convention. I saw in the news today that he has promised not to raise taxes. Surprise, surprise! A Republican who will not raise taxes! He'll have his 100 year deployment of our troops in Iraq and will ask no sacrifices of the rest of the citizens. The cost will be passed on to our children and grandchildren, and perhaps even our great-grandchildren. Could he possibly be a worse president than Bush? I thought that no one could be worse, but I'm beginning to have doubts.

As for the Democrats, on with the race, on with the challenges, on with the excitement.

16 comments:

  1. Hear, hear! Nothing wrong with making them work for it, clarify and develop their positions and priorities, and generally leave old, tired, cranky, and dangerous JMcC on the sidelines.

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  2. "Old, cranky, and dangerous" is a good summation, Paul, but won't it be better to make him show those traits to the public?

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  3. although, Hillary's false claim of plagiarism (his friend and supporter Gov Patrick suggested some ideas for his speech which Obama used and Hillary is now claiming he plagiarized those three sentences!) is a bit too close to dirty, really.

    Especially when the networks were able to immediately show her using lines lifted from her husband's speeches, from Edwards and even from Obama (and I can guarantee you that Obama didn't call her and suggest that she use the lines).

    To be honest it just seems that Hillary is working too hard to prove that she will say or do anything to get the power that she wants.

    I guess that I want this to wrap up soon so we can stop her tearing down the eventual nominee. The odds are good that in desperation that she may try a line of attack that will stick and hurt Obama in the general election.

    It was Al Gore who first went after Dukakis over Willie Horton. The Republicans took notes (their opposition research hadn't uncovered that line of attack) and used it convincingly against Dukakis in the general election. Lee Atwater, after the election, credited Gore's use of the Willie Horton in the primaries for giving the Republicans the winning shot.

    I don't want to see that happening again. And as the wheels come off of Hillary's bus she is likely to be willing to say anything, try throwing any dirt, to win. And she may just find something that hands the White House to McCain.

    So I'm hoping that this comes to a close very, very soon.

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  4. I am all for exposing McCain's true nature to the public.

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  5. Yes, my friends, we need to meet the real John McCain. I think he'll get enough exposure to misspeak many times, and provide more than enough quotable quotes for the Democrats to use.

    Dennis, if Obama is the nominee, we will see incredibly vicious sliming by the Republican machine, whether Clinton goes dirty or not. It's possible that Clinton's people will come up with something that the Republicans don't have, but not very likely, plus I think they have a clue that dirty campaigning by Clinton will backfire.

    Obama is my first choice, but if Clinton is the nominee, she will get my vote. She's looking somewhat desperate at the moment, and the media seem to like Obama and dislike Clinton, so she needs to be careful. Think of it. If Obama had the nomination sewed up now the Republicans would full speed ahead into sliming him.

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  6. Even if John McCain promised everyone rainbows and unicorns, I don't think a Republican will be elected president again for quite a while. They've proven to be murder on the economy and on world peace.

    They're also hell on the Constitution. While it's true that I tend to have a low opinion of Estadoünidense (not as individuals but as a group), I really don't think they are so stupid as to let the Republicans run things again, at least not for the next eight years.

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  7. The economy and the war without end may do McCain in. I wish I were as hopeful as you, Padre. I'm almost afraid to hope.

    Yes, we can!

    That was for me.

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  8. As a foreigner, it worries me immensely. In Australia, as in England most of the infighting to choose a party leader is behind close doors, although the press does manage to reveal some of it. We always hope for our party that it will be a brief battle and a new leader is chosen without the opposition finding too much dirt in the process. The way Clinton has gone on has horrified me and (not that it makes any difference) I have now lost any respect that I once had for her. Sorry.

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  9. I have now lost any respect that I once had for her. Sorry.

    Brian, you needn't apologize to me. I don't like some of the things Clinton has said either, however, if it comes to a choice between McCain and Clinton, then I have no choice.

    Believe it or not, some years ago, I once admired McCain, but either I was terribly wrong about him, or he changed greatly. I could not cast a vote for him today.

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  10. NBC just called Wisconsin for Senator Obama. Woo hoo!

    I know that it is a work night but I think that I'm putting a bottle of bubbly in the fridge!

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  11. Yay! Send some bubbly through the intertubes. Ah, but it would be flat by the time it got to me. Of course, I could get my own damned bubbly, couldn't I?

    I like Clinton less and less, the more she takes the low road.

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  12. PadreM, "I really don't think they are so stupid as to let the Republicans run things again, at least not for the next eight years."

    Pray very hard for that to turn out to be true. You have more faith in our electorate than I do. I would not have given two cents for Dubya's chances at a second term, and that thought was proven wrong. And even scarier than McCain to me is the Huckster anywhere at all on the ticket.

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  13. Holy schmoly, Dennis. Obama much? ;)

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  14. I think the 'conventional' thinking is all wet. I believe a close contest will keep interest centered on the Democrats, and can only work in Obama's favor.

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  15. Jim, I agree. I don't think it's a bad thing. Whatever Clinton slings at Obama, the Republicans will do much, much worse. Practice in deflecting Clinton's barbs could serve to hone his skills against the Republican slime machine.

    I believe that the Republicans sense a winner in Obama already, because they seem to be coming down harder on him just within the last few days.

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